Particle filtering seals: An update on modelling the population dynamics of grey seals.
Speaker: Len Thomas (CREEM)
This talk presents an update on ongoing work, aimed at using particle filtering algorithms to fit Bayesian state-space models for the population dynamics of British and Canadian grey seals to data on the number of pups born each year. The model for British seals now fits the data reasonably well; that for Canadian seals is rather less impressive, but I’m the man with the plan (well, we have some ideas, anyway). There have also been lots of recent developments in the sphere of fitting high-dimensional models to data using computer-intensive methods, and I’ll provide some pointers to these.